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The Discredited Phillips Curve Cannot Be Discredited Enough

While filming an already over budget The Exorcist in the early ’70s, the late director William Friedkin secured from the stingy execs at Warner Brothers the purchase of a $50,000 air conditioning unit. Friedkin needed Regan’s (played by Linda Blair) room to be so cold that her breathing would create “breath clouds.”

Nowadays digital imagery could do for Friedkin what cost a fortune 50 years ago. As for the $50,000 AC unit or the cameras Friedkin filmed with, it’s no reach to suggest that a similar AC and camera would cost a tiny fraction of what they did back then.

Economic growth is all about falling prices, except to the economics profession. The word from the latest Jackson Hole Fed bash is that growth must slow further to push prices down. What’s sad is that both sides buy into what’s so at odds with reality.

Talking to the New York Times recently, AEI’s lead economist in Michael Strain observed that “good news” for the Fed would be a recession. Since the credentialed near unanimously believe that job loss and bankruptcy are the cures for inflation, it’s up to those short on credentials but mildly long on common sense to correct an impoverishing narrative – over and over again – that just won’t die. 

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Author

  • John Tamny

    John Tamny is Founder and President of the Parkview Institute, editor of RealClearMarkets, senior fellow at the Market Institute, and Senior Economic Adviser to mutual fund firm Applied Finance Group. Tamny is the author of eight books. His latest is The Deficit Delusion: Why Everything Left, Right and Supply-Side Tell You About the National Debt Is Wrong. His others are Bringing Adam Smith Into the American Home: A Case Against Home Ownership, The Money Confusion, When Politicians Panicked: The New Coronavirus, Expert Opinion, and a Tragic Lapse of Reason, Popular Economics, Who Needs the Fed?, The End of Work, and They're Both Wrong: A Policy Guide for America's Frustrated Independent Thinkers.

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